Jared Levy




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Posts Tagged ‘oil’

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global trendsSmart Investing Daily has been banging the drum on global food inflation issues and shortages. The skyrocketing prices of foodstuffs driven by consumption and a weak U.S. dollar are wreaking havoc on the living expenses of the average consumer around the world; you can read our commentary here.

Energy prices, namely crude oil, are also at record levels, further exacerbating global cost-of-living expenses in both the goods and services that we buy — as well as food. Interesting enough, one of the “solutions” to our energy problem may in fact seriously endanger our most precious commodity of all, WATER.

Water, Water Everywhere, but Only a Small Amount to Drink…

I find it fascinating that we can trade just about anything these days. You can bet on the rise and fall of the prices of everything from corn to oil, electricity, soybeans, natural gas, timber and even pork bellies. Heck, if you wanted to you can even make investments in the weather and the amount of rainfall in a certain period of time. (Farmers may use these sorts of investment vehicles to protect their crop prices and yields.)

But you can’t trade water on an exchange…

The human body is composed of over 70% water. Water is even more essential than food for our basic survival. In fact, you can only live about three to five days without water; however, there is evidence to prove that a healthy adult can last 30 to 40 days without food!

Water is so necessary, but potable water is NOT a tradable commodity like oil nor is its scarcity the topic of many headlines. All life on Earth needs water to survive and grow; we don’t “need” oil.

Maybe we take it for granted because nature gives us a “free” supply in the form of rain, glacial runoff and underground aquifers that don’t require much to tap into. But what if that supply becomes tainted?

Water covers about 70% of the Earth’s surface, most of it being salt. Freshwater is available, but very limited in comparison, especially in certain areas… and not all of it is drinkable. Fresh water is found in a few places on Earth:

  • Ground sources such as groundwater, hyporheic zones and aquifers make up about 1.6% of the total water found on Earth.
  • Precipitation, which includes rain, hail, snow, fog, etc., equals about .001% of total water on Earth.
  • Surface water such as rivers, streams, glaciers is about 3%.

Less than 5% of our total water supply is fresh water. Now there are some new technologies that are changing that. We can also get clean fresh water through desalinization. A Jan. 17, 2008, article in The Wall Street Journal stated that “Worldwide, 13,080 desalination plants produce more than 12 billion gallons of water a day.”

While that may seem like there is a large amount of drinking water available, consider the facts: Read more

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Jared Levy, Editor, Smart Investing Daily
Tuesday, 01 February 2011
 

crude-oilYes, it’s true. I know what you are thinking… that I’m probably going to show you some fancy stock or futures contract strategy to offset higher crude oil prices — but it might be simpler than that. The question is whether it’s worth it or not… Let’s take a look. 

West Texas Crude Oil Above $90

Sometimes it takes a geopolitical crisis or catastrophe to act as a “reality check” and create a catalyst for movement in the prices of stocks or commodities. Natural and man-made catastrophes can not only change the fundamental picture of a commodity like oil, but also rouse speculators to drive prices wildly higher (or lower). Sometimes an impending catastrophe can be right under our noses, as Sara discussed in yesterday’s Smart Investing Daily article. Whether you’re an investor or simply an informed citizen, you cannot afford to ignore what is going on around the world. 

The events unfolding in Egypt and in other areas across the world (Australia) remind us of not only the fragility of some political and social systems, but also the unpredictability of our Mother Earth. The protests to oust President Mubarak alone have catapulted crude oil prices from $85 to over $92 a barrel in just two days. Egypt is not even a major oil exporter by comparison, but the Suez Canal is a major thoroughfare for tankers. 

Even at two-year highs, crude oil prices are still drawing support, not just because of tensions in Egypt and the Middle East, but by the weakening dollar and a 20-year high reading of the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index, which perhaps indicates continued growth regionally and also nationally. 

Let’s not forget our friends at OPEC who “manipulate” supply to keep crude oil prices steady. I am sure that the 12 members — Iran, Iraq, Kuwait Read more

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How to Get Even With OPEC When Crude Oil Hits $100
Written by Jared Levy, Editor, Smart Investing Daily   
Friday, 12 November 2010 12:26
crude oilThe meeting of the G-20 in Seoul this week still has not produced a solution or agreement to end the global currency war that is ensuing.

Because of the lack of a global currency solution from the G-20 and being that crude oil prices are fixed to the U.S. dollar… we can expect a weak dollar to equal high crude oil prices. West Texas Crude hit $88 a barrel on Thursday, after OPEC revised its 2011 demand growth forecasts upward.

The fact that the U.S. is slowly on the road to recovery and China is continuing its rapid expansion, demand from the two largest energy and crude oil users is on the rise, further increasing demand for the black gold.

Of course, our “friends” over at OPEC, who are allegedly entrusted with keeping crude oil prices stable, know full well that if consumers are getting “healthier” and inflation is looming, $120 oil may become a “fair” price. I was always amused at how they always seem to tell us that wherever crude oil is priced at is “fair”.

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