Jared Levy
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Smart Investing Daily – Food Prices Hurting McDonald’s, but Not This Stock
If you have been reading Smart Investing Daily, you know that food trends, demand and subsequent food inflation have been on our radar (and trade ideas) for some time, including my Thanksgiving notes as well as my concerns here in early October.
Consumer Price Index and Inflation
When I first started in the business and was learning how the “stock market” interprets data, I was told that when market players are evaluating inflationary pressures, they pay close attention to something called the “Core CPI”; I’ll get to that in a moment, but let’s talk consumer price index first.
Consumer price index (CPI), which measures monthly prices for the goods and services we consume. It measures everything from the price of canned fish and bread to laundry detergent, fuel, electricity and even the water and sewer costs of your home; even average rent rates are measured.
The goal here is to record and monitor the costs of living in America. If we pay 5% more for the same “stuff” (on average) this year than we did last year, one could make the assumption (generally) that prices have inflated about 5%, or that our dollar may be worth 5% less (on a very basic level).
Over the past year, the consumer price index increased 1.5% and the year prior the index saw a Read more
Smart Investing Daily – Your Thanksgiving Turkey May Hold the Secrets to Wealth
Thanksgiving is a time for family, friends and feasting. The centerpiece of most holiday banquets is the good ole’ domesticated turkey, which, unfortunately for them, is bred simply to be eaten.
Unlike wild turkeys, which most of us do not eat, the domestic turkey is not only another product of Americans’ cultural need for the bird over the holidays… but a symbol of how far the “food” business has come.
Consider this:
- In 2010, more than 242 million turkeys were raised with an average weight of 28 lbs per bird or 6 billion pounds of turkey processed.
- In 1970, only 105 million birds were raised with an average weight of 17 pounds or 1.5 billion pounds processed.
- That’s a production increase of 300%!
Can you say “bird-flation”?




