Jared Levy




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Archives

Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

2

Jared Levy, Editor, Smart Investing Daily
Friday, 19 November 2010

 

inflationOn Monday, an old friend sent me a link to a now virally famous cartoon clip via YouTube. The clip is a depiction of the Federal Reserve’s second round of quantitative easing in a simplified, humorous manner and has been viewed over 1.6 million times, not to mention it had a front and center showing on CNBC.

It comically poses questions that pretty much sum up the entire state of our economy right now. Is this some kind of a nightmare? Are we in an episode of The Twilight Zone?

Please watch the clip before you continue.

I couldn’t have said it better myself.

Quantitative easing, in theory, should put money into consumers’ hands to spend and into companies’ hands to hire. The Federal Reserve is worried about deflation.

But is this really the case?

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posted by admin, November 2, 2010 @ 5:35 am

Smart Investing Daily – QE2 & Monopoly

Why Quantitative Easing Is Similar to Monopoly

Jared Levy, Editor, Smart Investing Daily
Tuesday, 02 November 2010
 

EconomyThe second iteration of quantitative easing (QE2) is supposed to make “money easier” — make it flow from the banks to consumers to businesses, etc. The first round of quantitative easing pumped billions of U.S. dollars into the system, but not much of it made it into my hands, and I’m guessing yours either… 

If you have ever played Monopoly and have been “the bank,” you get to control all the money that is divided out to each player.

Remember that the “extra” money is not part of the money circulating in the game yet.

Did you ever cheat and add a little of that “bank” money to your own reserves? I know some of you may have at least thought about it. I mean, how cool was it to just print or add money as you saw fit, so you could buy more stuff?

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posted by admin, October 15, 2010 @ 5:43 am

Smart Investing Daily – The “Inflate-a-Rally”

Smart Investing Daily
How to Protect Yourself From the “Inflate-a-Rally”
Written by Jared Levy, Smart Investing Daily   
Friday, 15 October 2010 09:13
personal financeWe are now officially in the thick of earnings season, which means added volatility for the marketplace. Splashy headlines like Google’s surprise surge in sales are making the bulls bolder by the day.And as long as earnings reports continue to at least meet consensus estimates on average, that most likely won’t be the foundation for a correction… yet.

My concern is for the peaks and valleys we could see from this inflate-a-rally. If smart investors have learned anything over the past few years of market volatility, it’s to abide by the Boy Scout motto to always be prepared.

Here are the best ways to arm your portfolio with protection…

It All Comes Back to Commodities

Caterpillar or CAT tractor, as we traders like to call it, has led the Dow in its most recent charge to the upside. Without CAT’s huge upside moves over the past couple of months, the Dow Jones would NOT be where it is today. CAT’s rally has been driven by the ongoing weakness in the dollar and in turn the contrary strength in commodities.

It’s not just CAT that gets a boost from Helicopter Ben’s loose monetary and weak dollar policies, but basically any company with substantial operations in foreign countries whose currency is stronger than ours. Companies such as McDonald’s (MCD), IBM, Coca-Cola (KO), Boeing (BA), GE, Intel (INTC), 3M (MMM) and PepsiCo (PEP) also fall into that category.

Coincidentally, those companies alone account for one-third of all the companies that comprise the Dow Jones. (Most of the others also have foreign exposure, of course.) But even those nine companies, excluding all others, would have an effect greater than 60% of the index because of their high weightings.

It is important to remember that for companies to take full advantage of a weak dollar, they must produce their goods here and ship them to countries with stronger currencies. Also of note is the fact that they should be reporting in U.S. dollars.

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posted by admin, October 12, 2010 @ 8:20 am

Smart Investing Daily – Food and Inflation

What the Texas State Fair Taught Me About Inflation

Jared Levy, Editor, Smart Investing Daily
Tuesday, October 12, 2010

agricultureI spent my Saturday wandering around the good old Texas State Fair. I walked though the livestock area and stables full of animals of all kinds from all over Texas, and right before exiting I turned to my right to see “Millie” the Brown Swiss cow staring right at me.

My first thought, while staring back into the eyes of this cow, was inflation. Most don’t typically associate cows with inflation, I know. But here’s what that Brown Swiss cow and inflation have to do with one another…

Inflation Is Knocking

Sara and I have discussed printing U.S. dollars, monetary policy, budget deficits, gold prices, silver prices, precious metals and even crude oil as having direct correlations with impending inflation, but we must not forget about the most important commodity of them all… FOOD!

Without getting into gross detail about the world’s eating habits, I wanted to offer some simple examples to help you get a grasp on the importance and consumption of food and, more importantly, the prices of food when inflation comes to roost.

Consumption

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